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Sentinel · Structural Layer

Macro PSI

Live federal debt-to-GDP, plus the elite-overproduction and fiscal-distress framework behind it.

Federal Debt — Percent of GDP (FRED) LIVE
Connecting to FRED proxy…
Elite Overproduction & State Legitimacy CONTEXT

Political Stress Indicator framework, per Turchin's structural-demographic theory. Elite overproduction and state fiscal capacity — the two structural pillars that compound toward rupture.

Intra-elite polarization and state legitimacy run as synthesis reads here, not single live feeds — there's no one number for either. Turchin's own Crisis DB updates on his publication schedule, not in real time.

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