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Sentinel tracks the structural indicators of societal stress. Also on this site: free financial calculators. What this site is →
Signal · Sentinel

A live instrument, not a headline feed.

Seven panels tracking the structural-demographic indicators that precede rupture: elite overproduction, popular immiseration, state fiscal distress, the local, ground-level anomalies that show up before they hit your front door, and a weekly composite score across all of it.

Panel 01
Macro PSI
Political Stress Indicator framework, per Turchin's structural-demographic theory. Elite overproduction and state fiscal capacity — the two structural pillars that compound toward rupture.
Panel 02
Popular Immiseration
The productivity-pay gap since 1979, charted by EPI, plus live wages and cost-of-living headlines.
Panel 03
Markets & Money
Global headline volume on markets and money, live from BBC Business.
Panel 04
Local Sentinel
Ground-truth anomalies. Seismic activity live now via USGS.
Panel 05
Trigger Events
Global news volume on protest, unrest, and mobilization, live from Al Jazeera.
Panel 06
Fear/Greed Index
A live 0-100 panic gauge built from Polymarket prediction-market volatility across politics, crypto, geopolitics, and sports.
Panel 07
Failure-Chain Scorecard
Twelve items across capacity, logistics, labor, fiscal extraction, and legitimacy, scored 0/1/2 weekly against fixed thresholds, summed to one 0-24 reading.
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