Signal

Analytical writing

Guides, comparisons, and pattern recognition for prediction markets and personal finance. No hype. No doom.

Sentinel

Sentinel — A live read on the structural moment

Seven panels tracking the indicators that precede rupture: elite overproduction, popular immiseration, state fiscal distress, prediction-market panic, local ground-truth anomalies, trigger events, and a weekly failure-chain composite.

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Prediction Markets

Guide · Prediction Markets

Kalshi vs Polymarket — Which one for US traders?

Platform comparison, fee structures, market depth, and which venue fits your trading style in 2026.

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